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What to Expect When You're Expecting the Fed to Pivot

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The market usually bottoms out prior to the close of the Fed rate-hike cycle.

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Here's how to settle the bet.

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A large amount of funds could be at stake in the event that you consider that the Federal Reserve will "pivot" or, move your feet at least some distance off the rate-hike pedal.

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It is useful to go through past rate-growth cycles to determine the performance of investors in predicting when those cycles will end.

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This wide range is a reflection of the risk and uncertainty associated with trying to invest in stocks before a pivot is likely.

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You should pay attention to the various rate hike cycles over the years as the Fed has begun to specifically target the fed funds rate rate.

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In particular, note the six-month period before discontinuing the cycle.

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The approach you have chosen will not allow you to enter the market at pre-pivot levels, however, expecting that could be a false hope.

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If you do this, you'll get an average purchase price, which is much better than just sitting around waiting.